Outcome Blindness
Apr 18th, 2013 by thegooddoctor in 100 Words
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Judge Lehman banged her gavel, demanding silence.
“One more outburst and I will find you all in contempt.” The watchers reluctantly sat back down, their grumbles still filling the room. The judge asked the defendant to continue.
“As I was saying, the numbers clearly indicated there was an overwhelming likelihood the conflict would be resolved with a minimal loss of life. We forecast there was only a tenth of a percent chance we’d have more than 100 casualties.”
The prosecuting attorney pressed on. “Over three million citizens died.”
“Yes, but this was an extreme outlier. You obviously don’t understand statistics.”
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