{"id":1165,"date":"2013-04-18T17:47:22","date_gmt":"2013-04-18T09:47:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/?p=1165"},"modified":"2013-04-18T17:47:22","modified_gmt":"2013-04-18T09:47:22","slug":"outcome-blindness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/2013\/04\/18\/outcome-blindness\/","title":{"rendered":"Outcome Blindness"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Judge Lehman banged her gavel, demanding silence.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;One more outburst and I will find you all in contempt.&#8221; The watchers reluctantly sat back down, their grumbles still filling the room. The judge asked the defendant to continue.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;As I was saying, the numbers clearly indicated there was an overwhelming likelihood the conflict would be resolved with a minimal loss of life. We forecast there was only a tenth of a percent chance we&#8217;d have more than 100 casualties.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The prosecuting attorney pressed on. &#8220;Over three million citizens died.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Yes, but this was an extreme outlier. You obviously don&#8217;t understand statistics.&#8221;<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Judge Lehman banged her gavel, demanding silence. &#8220;One more outburst and I will find you all in contempt.&#8221; The watchers reluctantly sat back down, their grumbles still filling the room. The judge asked the defendant to continue. &#8220;As I was saying, the numbers clearly indicated there was an overwhelming likelihood the conflict would be resolved [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[2060,2061,2057,841,1989,2056,1749,2058,2054,2062,2059,2055],"class_list":["post-1165","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-100words","tag-attorney","tag-casualties","tag-contempt","tag-court","tag-defendant","tag-gavel","tag-judge","tag-lawyer","tag-outlier","tag-probability","tag-prosecutor","tag-statistics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1165","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1165"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1165\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1166,"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1165\/revisions\/1166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1165"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1165"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/entropy2.com\/blogs\/100words\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1165"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}